Every decision reshapes the path ahead. The odds depend on where you come from and where you ask.
Reported recognition rate in Italy: 58% (first-instance decisions, 2014)
Disclaimer: the time in procedure, the maze and its events are part of the game. They do not reflect how long real asylum procedures take or how real cases unfold.
Based on European (EU/EFTA) asylum decisions from 2014 analyzed by Arjen Leerkes (WODC, 2015).
Your odds are an estimate for an average applicant of your nationality in that country, calculated from the figures in the report below. Source: Leerkes, A. (2015). How (un)restrictive are we? ‘Adjusted’ and ‘expected’ asylum recognition rates in Europe. WODC Cahier 2015-10.